Stock Market Dec 19: Sensex, Nifty Today To Remain Cautious as Global Central Bank Decisions Loom

Indian equity markets are expected to trade cautiously and stay range-bound on 19 December. Investor sentiment is likely to be influenced by the outcome of the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting, along with interest rate decisions from other global central banks, movement in the rupee-dollar pair and foreign institutional investor (FII) activity.

Stock Market Outlook Today:

Sensex, Nifty Prediction For 19 December 2025 The stock market on Thursday closed nearly flat in a highly volatile trading session as early gains fizzled out amid selling pressure in the later half of the day. The Sensex ended the session lower by 77.84 points or 0.09% at 84,481.81, while the Nifty50 slipped marginally by 3 points or 0.01% to close at 25,815.55

During the first half, the Nifty touched an intraday high of 25,902 before giving up gains as volatility picked up in the latter half of the session. Stocks in Focus Today: IT, Auto, Media, Pharma, Oil & Gas, Capital Stocks To Watch On the sectoral front, IT stocks emerged as the top performers, rising over 1%, helped by selective buying and favorable currency movements. Realty stocks also edged higher by 0.3%. In contrast, auto, media, pharma, oil & gas, and capital goods stocks remained under pressure, declining between 0.3% and 1%.

Shares of asset management companies witnessed notable gains after the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) approved changes to the mutual fund fee structure, a move aimed at easing compliance norms and reducing cost pressures.

Market to Consolidate Amid Rupee Performance & Global Cues Commenting on the market performance, Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research, Wealth Management at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said Indian equities remained lacklustre for the fourth consecutive session, with the Nifty ending sideways.

He noted that the Indian rupee showed signs of rebound, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned net buyers for the first time in December, purchasing equities worth Rs 1,172 crore, offering some relief following weeks of persistent selling. He added that the market is likely to consolidate, tracking INR-USD movement, FII flows, and global macroeconomic data.

On the global macro front, investors are awaiting key announcements, including interest rate decisions from the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB), alongside US retail inflation and jobless claims data. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan has begun its two-day policy meeting, with expectations of a rate hike from 0.5% to 0.75% on Friday.

Nifty Prediction Today According to Bajaj Broking Research, the Nifty50 formed a small bullish candle with long shadows, indicating consolidation amid heightened volatility. However, the index continues to form lower highs and lower lows, pointing to a corrective bias.

The Nifty has strong support in the 25,700-25,800 zone, backed by the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), last week’s low, and key retracement levels. A decisive break below this support could push the index toward the 25,500-25,400 range, where the 100-day EMA is placed. On the upside, immediate resistance is seen near 26,000, and a sustained move above this level could drive the index toward 26,200-26,300.

Bank Nifty Outlook Today,

18 December 2025 For the Bank Nifty, analysts at Bajaj Broking Research noted the formation of a small bullish candlestick with a long upper shadow, highlighting stock-specific action and consolidation. The index is expected to trade within the 58,500-60,100 range in the near term. Key support lies at 58,200-58,600, while a move above 59,500 could open the door for a retest of the all-time high of 60,100 in the coming week.

Sensex Today | Stock Market Updates:

Sensex, Indian equities ended largely flat on Thursday, with the Sensex and Nifty struggling to find clear direction after three consecutive sessions of loses. The benchmarks recovered from early weakness as buying interest in IT and financial stocks helped stabilize sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex slipped 78 points, or 0.09%, to close at 84,481.81, while the NSE Nifty 50

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Sebi strikes of ‘balance’ in fee change; AMCs, brokers rally

Shares of asset management companies and brokerage firms surged in a relief rally on Thursday after Sebi’s overhaul of the mutual fund fee structure and cap on broking fees turned out to be less strict than initially proposed.

Trade Set-up for December 19:

The Indian stock market benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to open higher on Friday, December 19 after 4 sessions of loss following positive trends in the global markets. Asian Markets rose following gains in US peers after cooling US inflation data backed the case for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and calming tech jitters supported US stocks.

The trends on Gift Nifty point to a positive start for the Indian benchmark index. The Gift Nifty was trading near 25,933 level, up 60 points or 0.236% from the Nifty futures’ previous close.

The Indian stock market benchmarks — the Sensex and the Nifty 50 — extended its losing streak for the fourth session, ending largely flat with a mild negative bias on Thursday, December 18, as the absence of fresh catalysts kept investor sentiment subdued. The Sensex slipped 78 points, or 0.09%, to close at 84,481.81, while the Nifty 50 eased 3 points, or 0.01%, to finish at 25,815.55.

Market width remained mixed, with the BSE Midcap index inching up 0.05%, even as the Smallcap index declined 0.28%. Analysts noted that the domestic market continues to struggle for direction, with no new positive triggers to spark a trend reversal. Ongoing concerns over the weakening rupee, sustained foreign fund outflows and uncertainty surrounding the India–US trade deal negotiations kept investors cautious throughout the session.

Here’s what to expect from Sensex, Nifty 50, and Bank Nifty today:

Sensex Prediction
Benchmark Sensex traded without clear direction on Thursday as traders awaited a decisive move in either direction. Reflecting the steady but cautious tone of the market, Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Equity Research at Kotak Securities, said the index is currently stuck in a tight range with no strong intraday cues.

We believe that the intraday market texture is non-directional; perhaps traders are waiting for a breakout on either side,” Chouhan noted. He added that 8,4800 remains the immediate hurdle for the bulls. “If it manages to trade above this level, then it could move up to 85,000–85,300.” On the downside, Chouhan highlighted 84,300 and 84,100 as critical support areas “Below 84,100, selling pressure is likely to accelerate. If the market falls below this level, the chances of hitting 83,800–83,700 would increase,” he warned.

Nifty OI Data

Amruta Shinde, Technical & Derivative Analyst at Choice Equity Broking said, “Volatility remained subdued, with India VIX declining by 1.32 percent to 9.70, reflecting complacency and expectations of continued range-bound trading in the near term. Derivatives call data showed aggressive, striking, at the 25 while strong put open interest at 25,700 reinforces the view of a well-defined trading range A sustained close above 25,900 will be essential to revive bullish momentum, while failure to reclaim this level may prolong the ongoing consolidation in the sessions ahead

Nifty 50 Prediction

As markets enter a potentially decisive phase, analysts have warned that the Nifty could witness a sharp move soon. With the index slipping below key moving averages and repeatedly testing crucial support levels, the next few sessions may determine whether a rebound emerges or a deeper correction unfurls.

Osho Krishan, Chief Manager – Technical and Derivative Research at Angel One, said, “Technically, the chart structure indicates that an outburst could happen soon, as the 20-day and 50-day EMAs are converging. aggravate fresh shorts On the other hand, the 20-DEMA at 25,930, followed by 26,000, represents a sturdy hurdle.” He added that traders should adopt a selective approach and focus on thematic movers while avoiding aggressive bets

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